Selecting Anticipatory Methods for Migration Policy: Eight Key Elements To Consider

Blog by Sara Marcucci, Stefaan Verhulst, and Alina Menocal Peters: “Over the past several weeks, we’ve embarked on a journey exploring anticipatory methods for migration policy. Our exploration has taken us through the value proposition, challenges, taxonomy, and practical applications of these innovative methods. In this concluding blog, we unveil eight key considerations that policymakers’ may want to consider when choosing an anticipatory method for migration policy. By dissecting these factors, our intent is to equip decision-makers to navigate the complexities inherent in selecting anticipatory methodologies. 

  1. Nature and Determinants of Migration

When addressing migration policy challenges, the multifaceted nature of the type of migration is important when selecting anticipatory methods. Indeed, the specific challenges associated with anticipating migration can vary widely based on the context, causes, and characteristics of the movement. The complexity of the question at hand often determines the selection of methods or approaches. For instance, managing the integration of displaced populations following a conflict involves intricate factors such as cultural adaptation, economic integration, and community dynamics. If the question is about understanding the inferences and drivers that can predict migration patterns, methods like Cross-impact Analysis or System Dynamics Modeling can prove to be valuable. These can facilitate a comprehensive assessment of interdependencies and potential ripple effects, offering policymakers insights into the dynamic and interconnected nature of challenges associated with migration…(More)…See also Special Series on Anticipating Migration.

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